Research

This section contains research and forecast materials produced by ACRA. Unrestricted access to macroeconomic and industry forecasts used in assigning ratings ensures the rating process transparency.

Found: 53
TitleSectorDocument TypeDate
The demographic consequences of the pandemic in Russia have a macroeconomic impact
An interpretation of operational economic statistics
SovereignsAnalytical commentary12.02.2021
Russia and Kazakhstan are emerging from the crisis with greater debt sustainability than Belarus
Contingent liability risks have been deferred
SovereignsForecast22.01.2021
Despite the record transfer in 2020, the NFRK continues to be a reliable buffer for the budget of Kazakhstan and has a positive effect on the country’s rating
Kazakhstan's budget policy
SovereignsAnalytical commentary25.12.2020
Structural and temporary factors of economic growth in Russia
Russian Economy: Outlook Update to 2024
SovereignsForecast19.11.2020
A significant positive revision of industry data is the norm for Russia and many other countries
An interpretation of operational economic statistics
SovereignsAnalytical commentary20.10.2020
Domestic market capacity may not be sufficient to meet the government’s ambitious borrowing program
Quasi-market instruments or accumulated federal budget funds can be used to finance federal budget expenses
Sovereign and sub-sovereignResearch05.10.2020
State foreign-currency assets and liabilities of Belarus are balanced until the end of 2020, but risks of imbalance are growingSovereignsAnalytical commentary15.09.2020
Risks of recession in the Kazakh economy in 2020 and the prospects of exiting it
Kazakh economy: a forecast until 2024
SovereignsForecast12.08.2020
How soft will the Bank of Russia’s monetary policy be in 2020?
Russian economy: stimulus measures
SovereignsResearch05.06.2020
ACRA Financial Stress Index: similarities and differences between the current situation and the crises of 2008–2009 and 2014–2015
An article by ACRA analysts Vasilisa Baranova and Dmitry Kulikov for Cbonds
SovereignsAnalytical commentary25.05.2020
National Bank of Kazakhstan – a balanced response to economic shocks
The regulator has kept the base rate unchanged given inflation risks and the need to support the economy
SovereignsAnalytical commentary30.04.2020
Questions and lessons from the 2020 economic crisis
Russian economy: updating the forecast through 2024
SovereignsForecast21.04.2020

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